Rays at Royals
Last play · Michael Massey grounds out sharply, second baseman Richie Palacios to first baseman Yandy Díaz.
Win probability
Royals0%
TB 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 1 – 0 KC
Rays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Royals favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Isaac Paredes doubles (17) on a ground ball to left fielder MJ Melendez. Taylor Walls scores. Brandon Lowe scores. (inning 7) — -22% Rays
9Brandon Lowe homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.5–1
7Isaac Paredes doubles (17) on a ground ball to left fielder MJ Melendez. Taylor Walls scores. Brandon Lowe scores.4–1
6Bobby Witt Jr. homers (13) on a fly ball to left field.2–1
6Richie Palacios doubles (8) on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Hunter Renfroe. Josh Lowe scores.2–0
2Taylor Walls walks.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














