D-backs at Royals
Last play · Christian Walker strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Royals100%
AZ 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 3 – 9 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Royals favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ketel Marte homers (20) on a fly ball to left field. Alek Thomas scores. (inning 3) — -26% D-backs
8Eugenio Suárez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Christian Walker scores.4–10
6Salvador Perez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.3–10
5Hunter Renfroe homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field.3–9
4Bobby Witt Jr. homers (18) on a fly ball to center field. Kyle Isbel scores. Adam Frazier scores.3–8
4Kyle Isbel doubles (6) on a line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Maikel Garcia scores.3–5
3Salvador Perez homers (18) on a fly ball to center field. Vinnie Pasquantino scores.3–4
3Vinnie Pasquantino singles on a ground ball to center fielder Alek Thomas. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.3–2
3Ketel Marte homers (20) on a fly ball to left field. Alek Thomas scores.3–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














