Cubs at Royals
Last play · Michael Massey grounds out sharply, first baseman Michael Busch to pitcher Héctor Neris.
Win probability
Royals0%
CHC 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 3 – 1 KC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
11.5
opened 11.5
fair over 43.7% · hold 6.5%
Run line
+5.5
Moneyline
reference-20000 / +3000
Royals favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Patrick Wisdom hits a grand slam (5) to left center field. Christopher Morel scores. Mike Tauchman scores. Dansby Swanson scores. (inning 7) — -62% Cubs
9Nico Hoerner reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by third baseman Maikel Garcia. Dansby Swanson scores. David Bote to 2nd.9–4
9David Bote singles on a fly ball to right fielder Hunter Renfroe. Mike Tauchman scores. Dansby Swanson to 3rd.8–4
7Patrick Wisdom hits a grand slam (5) to left center field. Christopher Morel scores. Mike Tauchman scores. Dansby Swanson scores.7–4
6Hunter Renfroe singles on a ground ball to left fielder Ian Happ. Salvador Perez scores. Freddy Fermin scores.3–4
6Royals challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Bobby Witt Jr. doubles (29) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Maikel Garcia scores. Bobby Witt Jr. out at 3rd on the throw, left fielder Ian Happ to shortstop Dansby Swanson to third baseman Christopher Morel to first baseman Michael Busch.3–2
3Michael Busch grounds out to first baseman Salvador Perez. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores.3–1
2Hunter Renfroe homers (10) on a line drive to left center field.2–1
1Seiya Suzuki homers (15) on a fly ball to center field. Michael Busch scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














