Cubs at Royals
Last play · Mike Tauchman flies out to center fielder Kyle Isbel.
Win probability
Royals100%
CHC 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 0 – 6 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
11.5
opened 11.5
fair over 43.7% · hold 6.5%
Run line
+5.5
Moneyline
reference-20000 / +3000
Royals favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Adam Frazier singles on a fly ball to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Garrett Hampson scores. Kyle Isbel scores. (inning 5) — +25% Royals
5Salvador Perez homers (19) on a fly ball to left field. Bobby Witt Jr. scores. Vinnie Pasquantino scores.0–6
5Vinnie Pasquantino singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Adam Frazier scores. Bobby Witt Jr. to 3rd.0–3
5Adam Frazier singles on a fly ball to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Garrett Hampson scores. Kyle Isbel scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














