Cardinals at Royals
Last play · Vinnie Pasquantino grounds into a double play, second baseman Brendan Donovan to shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Bobby Witt Jr. out at 2nd. Vinnie Pasquantino out at 1st.
Win probability
Royals0%
STL 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 3 – 5 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Royals favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Victor Scott II doubles (4) on a line drive to right fielder Hunter Renfroe. Brendan Donovan scores. Tommy Pham scores. (inning 8) — -52% Cardinals
9Willson Contreras homers (15) on a fly ball to left field. Alec Burleson scores.8–5
8Victor Scott II doubles (4) on a line drive to right fielder Hunter Renfroe. Brendan Donovan scores. Tommy Pham scores.6–5
6Tommy Pham grounds out, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. Paul Goldschmidt scores. Nolan Gorman to 3rd.4–5
4Michael Massey out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Victor Scott II. Maikel Garcia scores.3–5
4Maikel Garcia doubles (21) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brendan Donovan. MJ Melendez scores.3–4
3Salvador Perez singles on a line drive to left fielder Brendan Donovan. Michael Massey scores.3–3
3Michael Massey singles on a ground ball to center fielder Victor Scott II, deflected by shortstop Masyn Winn. Kyle Isbel scores.3–2
3Kyle Isbel triples (6) on a fly ball to center fielder Victor Scott II. Maikel Garcia scores.3–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
