Cubs at Royals
CHC7–
KC3Last play · Freddy Fermin lines out to right fielder Seiya Suzuki.
Win probability
Royals0%
CHC 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 2 – 3 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -175
Royals favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nico Hoerner doubles (21) on a ground ball to left fielder MJ Melendez, deflected by third baseman Maikel Garcia. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. Christian Bethancourt scores. (inning 3) — -23% Cubs
9Dansby Swanson out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder MJ Melendez. Ian Happ scores.7–3
9Michael Busch singles on a line drive to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Seiya Suzuki scores. Ian Happ to 3rd.6–3
9Patrick Wisdom homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.5–3
6Pete Crow-Armstrong singles on a ground ball to right fielder Hunter Renfroe, deflected by second baseman Michael Massey. David Bote scores.4–3
6David Bote doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Hunter Renfroe. Michael Busch scores.3–3
4Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Freddy Fermin homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.2–3
3Nico Hoerner doubles (21) on a ground ball to left fielder MJ Melendez, deflected by third baseman Maikel Garcia. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. Christian Bethancourt scores.2–2
1Hunter Renfroe singles on a line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Michael Massey scores. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.