Red Sox at Royals
Last play · Bobby Witt Jr. strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Royals0%
BOS 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 3 – 3 KC
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -140
Royals favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Masataka Yoshida singles on a ground ball to right fielder Adam Frazier. Nick Sogard scores. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Rob Refsnyder to 2nd. (inning 6) — -24% Red Sox
8MJ Melendez doubles (16) on a line drive to right fielder Rob Refsnyder. Vinnie Pasquantino scores. Salvador Perez scores.6–5
6Masataka Yoshida singles on a ground ball to right fielder Adam Frazier. Nick Sogard scores. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Rob Refsnyder to 2nd.6–3
6Ceddanne Rafaela walks.4–3
5Vinnie Pasquantino doubles (25) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.3–3
5Michael Massey homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field.3–2
3Masataka Yoshida homers (6) on a fly ball to right field.3–1
2Ceddanne Rafaela grounds out softly to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. Dominic Smith scores. David Hamilton to 3rd.2–1
2David Hamilton hits a ground-rule double (15) on a fly ball to right-center field. Connor Wong scores. Dominic Smith to 3rd.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
