Phillies at Royals
PHI11–
KC2Last play · Michael Massey lines out to left fielder Weston Wilson.
Win probability
Royals0%
PHI 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 2 – 1 KC
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Royals favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · J.T. Realmuto homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. Nick Castellanos scores. Bryson Stott scores. (inning 6) — -28% Phillies
9J.T. Realmuto grounds out, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. Weston Wilson scores.11–2
8Trea Turner singles on a ground ball to right fielder Hunter Renfroe, deflected by second baseman Michael Massey. Johan Rojas scores.10–2
8Phillies challenged (tag play), call on the field was overturned: Austin Hays doubles (16) on a line drive to left fielder MJ Melendez. Brandon Marsh scores.9–2
8J.T. Realmuto homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field. Nick Castellanos scores. Bryson Stott scores.8–2
7Freddy Fermin out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Hunter Renfroe scores. Michael Massey to 3rd.5–2
6J.T. Realmuto homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. Nick Castellanos scores. Bryson Stott scores.5–1
5Freddy Fermin singles on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Michael Massey scores.2–1
5Bryce Harper doubles (29) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Trea Turner scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.