Phillies at Royals
Last play · Trea Turner called out on strikes.
Win probability
Royals100%
PHI 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 2 – 7 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Royals favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Salvador Perez homers (23) on a fly ball to left center field. Vinnie Pasquantino scores. (inning 3) — +17% Royals
8Bryson Stott out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder MJ Melendez. Alec Bohm scores.4–7
5Paul DeJong doubles (17) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Austin Hays. Hunter Renfroe scores.2–7
4Nick Castellanos grounds out softly, third baseman Paul DeJong to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. Bryce Harper scores.2–6
3Hunter Renfroe homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field. MJ Melendez scores.1–6
3Salvador Perez homers (23) on a fly ball to left center field. Vinnie Pasquantino scores.1–4
3Vinnie Pasquantino singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Michael Massey scores.1–2
3Brandon Marsh singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Hunter Renfroe. J.T. Realmuto scores. Brandon Marsh to 2nd. Brandon Marsh advances to 2nd, on a fielding error by right fielder Hunter Renfroe.1–1
1Salvador Perez doubles (23) on a ground ball to left fielder Austin Hays. Vinnie Pasquantino scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
