Phillies at Royals
Last play · Maikel Garcia grounds out sharply, second baseman Bryson Stott to first baseman Weston Wilson.
Win probability
Royals0%
PHI 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 3 – 2 KC
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 10.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Royals favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Maikel Garcia homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 5) — +19% Royals
8Nick Castellanos homers (17) on a fly ball to left field. Alec Bohm scores.11–3
8Alec Bohm singles on a ground ball to left fielder MJ Melendez. Kyle Schwarber scores. Bryce Harper scores.9–3
8Bryce Harper doubles (30) on a ground ball to right fielder Adam Frazier. Garrett Stubbs scores. Kyle Schwarber to 3rd.7–3
6MJ Melendez homers (16) on a fly ball to right field.6–3
6Kyle Schwarber singles on a ground ball to right fielder Dairon Blanco. Johan Rojas scores. Garrett Stubbs scores. Fielding error by right fielder Dairon Blanco.6–2
6Garrett Stubbs doubles (4) on a line drive to left fielder MJ Melendez. Brandon Marsh scores. Johan Rojas to 3rd.4–2
5Maikel Garcia homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field.3–2
4Kyle Schwarber grounds out to first baseman Salvador Perez. Brandon Marsh scores. Johan Rojas to 3rd. Garrett Stubbs to 2nd.3–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
