Cardinals at Angels
Last play · Kyren Paris grounds out, second baseman Nolan Gorman to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
Win probability
Angels0%
STL 100%LAA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 0 – 4 LAA
Angels led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-140 / +120
Angels favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Carpenter singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jo Adell. Iván Herrera scores. Brendan Donovan scores. Masyn Winn to 3rd. (inning 7) — -36% Cardinals
9Brendan Donovan reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by third baseman Niko Goodrum. Nolan Arenado scores. Nolan Gorman scores. Iván Herrera to 3rd. Brendan Donovan to 2nd. Throwing error by third baseman Niko Goodrum.10–5
8Kevin Pillar singles on a line drive to right fielder Lars Nootbaar. Jo Adell scores. Taylor Ward to 2nd.8–5
7Iván Herrera singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Taylor Ward. Lars Nootbaar scores. Paul Goldschmidt scores. Nolan Gorman to 3rd.8–4
7Nolan Gorman walks. Matt Carpenter scores. Lars Nootbaar to 3rd. Paul Goldschmidt to 2nd.6–4
7Paul Goldschmidt hit by pitch. Masyn Winn scores. Matt Carpenter to 3rd. Lars Nootbaar to 2nd.5–4
7Matt Carpenter singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jo Adell. Iván Herrera scores. Brendan Donovan scores. Masyn Winn to 3rd.4–4
7Masyn Winn singles on a line drive to center fielder Kevin Pillar. Nolan Gorman scores. Iván Herrera to 3rd. Brendan Donovan to 2nd.2–4
7Nolan Arenado homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.1–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








