Padres at Angels
Last play · Tyler Wade grounds out to first baseman Nolan Schanuel.
Win probability
Angels100%
SD 0%LAA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 1 – 1 LAA
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Angels favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luis Guillorme out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Jo Adell scores. (inning 8) — +29% Angels
8Luis Guillorme out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Jo Adell scores.1–2
4Willie Calhoun singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Luis Rengifo scores.1–1
1Manny Machado homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














