Astros at Angels
Last play · Zach Neto grounds out, third baseman Alex Bregman to first baseman José Abreu.
Win probability
Angels0%
HOU 100%LAA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 4 – 0 LAA
Astros led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-155 / +135
Angels favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Yordan Alvarez homers (13) on a fly ball to right field. Alex Bregman scores. (inning 5) — -17% Astros
8Mauricio Dubón singles on a line drive to left fielder Taylor Ward. Jeremy Peña scores. Yainer Diaz to 2nd.6–1
8Yainer Diaz singles on a line drive to right fielder Jo Adell. Yordan Alvarez scores. Jeremy Peña to 2nd.5–1
7Nolan Schanuel homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field.4–1
5Yordan Alvarez homers (13) on a fly ball to right field. Alex Bregman scores.4–0
3Jake Meyers singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Taylor Ward. Jose Altuve scores. Alex Bregman out at home on the throw, left fielder Taylor Ward to catcher Matt Thaiss. Yordan Alvarez to 2nd.2–0
3Jose Altuve singles on a line drive to left fielder Taylor Ward. Chas McCormick scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














