Padres at Angels
Last play · Luis Arraez grounds out, shortstop Zach Neto to first baseman Nolan Schanuel.
Win probability
Angels100%
SD 0%LAA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 1 – 1 LAA
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-175 / +150
Angels favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Zach Neto doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Logan O'Hoppe scores. Jo Adell scores. Mickey Moniak to 3rd. (inning 7) — +31% Angels
8Jake Cronenworth singles on a line drive to left fielder Taylor Ward. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Manny Machado to 3rd.2–4
7Nolan Schanuel flies out to left fielder Jurickson Profar.1–4
7Zach Neto doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Logan O'Hoppe scores. Jo Adell scores. Mickey Moniak to 3rd.1–3
3Luis Rengifo singles on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Luis Guillorme scores.1–1
3Manny Machado singles on a line drive to left fielder Taylor Ward. Luis Arraez scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














