Mariners at Angels
Last play · Taylor Ward flies out to right fielder Victor Robles.
Win probability
Angels0%
SEA 100%LAA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 7 – 4 LAA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-165 / +140
Angels favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jorge Polanco reaches on a fielding error by shortstop Zach Neto. Julio Rodríguez scores. Randy Arozarena scores. (inning 1) — -22% Mariners
8Justin Turner out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Taylor Ward. Julio Rodríguez scores.9–5
7Victor Robles singles on a soft ground ball to pitcher Hunter Strickland. Jorge Polanco scores. Mitch Garver to 2nd.8–5
6Brandon Drury singles on a line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Nolan Schanuel scores. Mickey Moniak to 3rd.7–5
5Brandon Drury homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.7–4
5Mickey Moniak homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field.7–3
4Julio Rodríguez homers (13) on a line drive to center field. J.P. Crawford scores.7–2
1Nolan Schanuel out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Zach Neto scores.5–2
1Taylor Ward homers (18) on a fly ball to right field.5–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
