Mariners at Angels
Last play · Mickey Moniak homers (12) on a fly ball to right field.
Win probability
Angels100%
SEA 0%LAA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 4 – 1 LAA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-175 / +145
Angels favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Mickey Moniak homers (11) on a line drive to right center field. Anthony Rendon scores. (inning 7) — +39% Angels
9Mickey Moniak homers (12) on a fly ball to right field.4–5
7Mickey Moniak homers (11) on a line drive to right center field. Anthony Rendon scores.4–4
6Jo Adell homers (20) on a fly ball to left field.4–2
4Julio Rodríguez singles on a line drive to left fielder Taylor Ward. Dylan Moore scores. Victor Robles scores. J.P. Crawford to 2nd.4–1
4Justin Turner homers (9) on a fly ball to left field.2–1
3Jo Adell homers (19) on a line drive to center field.1–1
2Justin Turner homers (8) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
