D-backs at Dodgers
Last play · Ketel Marte strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Dodgers100%
AZ 0%LAD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 1 – 6 LAD
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Dodgers favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Freddie Freeman hits a grand slam (5) to center field. Miguel Rojas scores. Mookie Betts scores. Shohei Ohtani scores. (inning 3) — +32% Dodgers
8Jake McCarthy homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.4–6
8Lourdes Gurriel Jr. homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.3–6
7Kevin Newman singles on a ground ball to center fielder Andy Pages, deflected by second baseman Miguel Rojas. Eugenio Suárez scores.2–6
3Will Smith homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.1–6
3Freddie Freeman hits a grand slam (5) to center field. Miguel Rojas scores. Mookie Betts scores. Shohei Ohtani scores.1–5
3Enrique Hernández homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.1–1
3Joc Pederson singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Andy Pages. Kevin Newman scores. Ketel Marte to 3rd. Joc Pederson to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
