Royals at Dodgers
Last play · Austin Barnes flies out to right fielder Dairon Blanco.
Win probability
Dodgers0%
KC 100%LAD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 1 – 2 LAD
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+220 / -275
Dodgers favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · MJ Melendez hits a grand slam (8) to right field. Vinnie Pasquantino scores. Nelson Velázquez scores. Freddy Fermin scores. (inning 6) — -56% Royals
7Nelson Velázquez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Andy Pages. Maikel Garcia scores.7–2
7Bobby Witt Jr. singles on a line drive to left fielder Teoscar Hernández. Garrett Hampson scores. Maikel Garcia to 2nd.6–2
6MJ Melendez hits a grand slam (8) to right field. Vinnie Pasquantino scores. Nelson Velázquez scores. Freddy Fermin scores.5–2
4Gavin Lux singles on a ground ball to center fielder Garrett Hampson. Freddie Freeman scores. Andy Pages scores. Jason Heyward to 3rd.1–2
4Nick Loftin grounds out, second baseman Gavin Lux to first baseman Freddie Freeman. Vinnie Pasquantino scores. Freddy Fermin to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














