Red Sox at Dodgers
Last play · Dominic Smith grounds into a double play, second baseman Gavin Lux to shortstop Miguel Rojas to first baseman Freddie Freeman. Masataka Yoshida out at 2nd. Dominic Smith out at 1st.
Win probability
Dodgers100%
BOS 0%LAD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 1 – 0 LAD
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Dodgers favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Freddie Freeman hits a grand slam (15) to right field. Miguel Vargas scores. Shohei Ohtani scores. Will Smith scores. (inning 8) — +69% Dodgers
8Freddie Freeman hits a grand slam (15) to right field. Miguel Vargas scores. Shohei Ohtani scores. Will Smith scores.1–4
5Jarren Duran homers (11) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














