Phillies at Dodgers
Last play · Garrett Stubbs pops out to shortstop Nick Ahmed.
Win probability
Dodgers100%
PHI 0%LAD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 2 – 4 LAD
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Dodgers favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Teoscar Hernández homers (24) on a line drive to left field. Nick Ahmed scores. (inning 3) — +23% Dodgers
8Shohei Ohtani homers (34) on a fly ball to center field.3–5
6Alec Bohm grounds out, second baseman Gavin Lux to first baseman Freddie Freeman. Kyle Schwarber scores. Bryce Harper to 3rd.3–4
3Teoscar Hernández homers (24) on a line drive to left field. Nick Ahmed scores.2–4
3Shohei Ohtani out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Andy Pages scores. Nick Ahmed to 2nd.2–2
3Andy Pages doubles (18) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Austin Hays. Jason Heyward scores.2–1
2Garrett Stubbs strikes out swinging.2–0
2Bryson Stott singles on a ground ball to pitcher Tyler Glasnow. Nick Castellanos scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
