Phillies at Marlins
Last play · Jazz Chisholm Jr. strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Marlins0%
PHI 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 0 – 1 MIA
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Marlins favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryson Stott triples (2) on a ground ball to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. J.T. Realmuto scores. Alec Bohm scores. Nick Castellanos scores. (inning 6) — -38% Phillies
9Otto Lopez homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Vidal Bruján scores.8–3
8Johan Rojas singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Nick Gordon. Edmundo Sosa scores. Cristian Pache scores.8–1
8Cristian Pache singles on a ground ball to left fielder Nick Gordon, deflected by third baseman Jake Burger. Bryson Stott scores. Edmundo Sosa to 3rd. Cristian Pache to 2nd. Throwing error by left fielder Nick Gordon.6–1
8Bryson Stott singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Nick Castellanos scores.5–1
6Bryson Stott triples (2) on a ground ball to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. J.T. Realmuto scores. Alec Bohm scores. Nick Castellanos scores.4–1
6J.T. Realmuto singles on a line drive to left fielder Nick Gordon. Whit Merrifield scores.1–1
5Vidal Bruján homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








