Phillies at Marlins
PHI6–
MIA7Last play · Emmanuel Rivera singles on a ground ball to right fielder Nick Castellanos, deflected by pitcher Gregory Soto. Nick Fortes scores. Josh Bell to 2nd.
Win probability
Marlins100%
PHI 0%MIA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 3 – 6 MIA
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-210 / +175
Marlins favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Josh Bell homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. Jake Burger scores. (inning 3) — +35% Marlins
10Emmanuel Rivera singles on a ground ball to right fielder Nick Castellanos, deflected by pitcher Gregory Soto. Nick Fortes scores. Josh Bell to 2nd.6–7
6Brandon Marsh out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jazz Chisholm Jr. Edmundo Sosa scores.6–6
6Edmundo Sosa triples (2) on a line drive to left fielder Nick Gordon. Bryce Harper scores. Bryson Stott scores.5–6
4Jazz Chisholm Jr. triples (2) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Cristian Pache. Otto Lopez scores.3–6
4Christian Bethancourt out on a sacrifice bunt to first baseman Alec Bohm. Vidal Bruján scores. Otto Lopez to 2nd.3–5
3Josh Bell homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. Jake Burger scores.3–4
2Jesús Sánchez hits a ground-rule double (3) on a line drive to center field. Josh Bell scores.3–1
1Nick Castellanos homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. Alec Bohm scores. Bryce Harper scores.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.