Last play · Otto Lopez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Harrison Bader. Christian Bethancourt scores.
Win probability
Marlins100%
NYM 0%MIA 100%
First 5 (F5)
final
NYM 7 – 2 MIA
Mets led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference
-125 / +105
Marlins favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Josh Bell homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. Bryan De La Cruz scores. (inning 9) — +56% Marlins
10Otto Lopez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Harrison Bader. Christian Bethancourt scores.9–10
9Josh Bell homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. Bryan De La Cruz scores.9–9
9Jazz Chisholm Jr. singles on a ground ball to right fielder Starling Marte. Vidal Bruján scores.9–6
9Starling Marte doubles (7) on a line drive to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Tyrone Taylor scores.9–5
9J.D. Martinez doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Nick Gordon. Brandon Nimmo scores.8–5
7Josh Bell singles on a line drive to right fielder Starling Marte. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. Bryan De La Cruz to 3rd.7–5
7Jazz Chisholm Jr. singles on a ground ball to right fielder Starling Marte. Otto Lopez scores.7–4
7Otto Lopez doubles (3) on a ground ball to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Nick Gordon scores.7–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.