Rays at Marlins
TB9–
MIA5Last play · Josh Bell grounds out softly, pitcher Pete Fairbanks to first baseman Yandy Díaz.
Win probability
Marlins0%
TB 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 9 – 3 MIA
Rays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Marlins favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Lowe homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Harold Ramírez scores. Isaac Paredes scores. (inning 4) — -31% Rays
8Otto Lopez out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jonny DeLuca. Josh Bell scores.9–5
7Bryan De La Cruz grounds into a force out, third baseman Isaac Paredes to second baseman Brandon Lowe. Nick Gordon scores. Nick Fortes to 3rd. Jazz Chisholm Jr. out at 2nd. Bryan De La Cruz to 1st.9–4
5Amed Rosario singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jazz Chisholm Jr. Brandon Lowe scores. Amed Rosario to 2nd.9–3
5Brandon Lowe doubles (3) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Jazz Chisholm Jr. Harold Ramírez scores. Isaac Paredes scores.8–3
5Isaac Paredes singles on a line drive to left fielder Nick Gordon. Yandy Díaz scores. Randy Arozarena scores. Harold Ramírez to 2nd.6–3
4Jose Siri doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jazz Chisholm Jr. Amed Rosario scores.4–3
4Brandon Lowe homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Harold Ramírez scores. Isaac Paredes scores.3–3
1Otto Lopez singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Josh Bell scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.