Rangers at Marlins
Last play · Leody Taveras flies out to center fielder Jazz Chisholm Jr.
Win probability
Marlins100%
TEX 0%MIA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 2 – 4 MIA
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-145 / +125
Marlins favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nick Gordon homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. Jesús Sánchez scores. (inning 2) — +20% Marlins
8Jake Burger singles on a ground ball to second baseman Marcus Semien. Tim Anderson scores. Otto Lopez to 3rd. Jazz Chisholm Jr. to 2nd.2–8
7Jesús Sánchez homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. Jake Burger scores. Josh Bell scores.2–7
5Wyatt Langford grounds out, third baseman Emmanuel Rivera to first baseman Jake Burger. Leody Taveras scores. Nathaniel Lowe to 2nd.2–4
4Josh Smith homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.1–4
3Nick Gordon grounds into a force out, shortstop Corey Seager to second baseman Marcus Semien. Jake Burger scores. Jesús Sánchez to 3rd. Emmanuel Rivera out at 2nd. Nick Gordon to 1st.0–4
3Josh Bell out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Leody Taveras. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores.0–3
2Nick Gordon homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. Jesús Sánchez scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
