Brewers at Marlins
Last play · Jake Burger strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Marlins0%
MIL 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 4 – 2 MIA
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Marlins favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Yelich triples (2) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Dane Myers. Jake Bauers scores. William Contreras scores. (inning 8) — -52% Brewers
8Willy Adames doubles (13) on a line drive to left fielder Bryan De La Cruz, deflected by third baseman Emmanuel Rivera. Christian Yelich scores.7–5
8Christian Yelich triples (2) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Dane Myers. Jake Bauers scores. William Contreras scores.6–5
6Dane Myers out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Blake Perkins. Emmanuel Rivera scores. Christian Bethancourt to 2nd.4–5
6Emmanuel Rivera singles on a line drive to right fielder Jackson Chourio. Tim Anderson scores.4–4
6Otto Lopez out on a sacrifice bunt, catcher William Contreras to first baseman Jake Bauers. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. Tim Anderson to 3rd.4–3
5Josh Bell out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Blake Perkins. Emmanuel Rivera scores.4–2
4William Contreras singles on a ground ball to left fielder Bryan De La Cruz. Blake Perkins scores. Andruw Monasterio scores.4–1
2Otto Lopez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Blake Perkins. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. Tim Anderson to 2nd.2–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
