Rays at Marlins
Last play · Vidal Bruján lines out sharply to center fielder Jose Siri.
Win probability
Marlins0%
TB 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 5 – 3 MIA
Rays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Marlins favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Isaac Paredes doubles (12) on a ground ball to left fielder Nick Gordon. Randy Arozarena scores. Brandon Lowe scores. (inning 1) — -22% Rays
5Josh Bell singles on a ground ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena, deflected by third baseman Amed Rosario. Vidal Bruján scores. Nick Fortes to 2nd.5–3
3Isaac Paredes doubles (13) on a fly ball to left fielder Nick Gordon. Brandon Lowe scores.5–2
3Brandon Lowe singles on a fly ball to left fielder Nick Gordon. Randy Arozarena scores. Brandon Lowe to 2nd.4–2
1Otto Lopez singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Harold Ramírez. Jesús Sánchez scores.3–2
1Jesús Sánchez doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Josh Lowe. Bryan De La Cruz scores.3–1
1Josh Lowe doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jazz Chisholm Jr. Isaac Paredes scores.3–0
1Isaac Paredes doubles (12) on a ground ball to left fielder Nick Gordon. Randy Arozarena scores. Brandon Lowe scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














