Cardinals at Marlins
Last play · Otto Lopez grounds out, third baseman Nolan Arenado to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
Win probability
Marlins0%
STL 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 1 – 0 MIA
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-155 / +135
Marlins favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryan De La Cruz homers (12) on a fly ball to right center field. Otto Lopez scores. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. (inning 8) — +54% Marlins
12Marlins challenged (grounds rule), call on the field was overturned: Nick Gordon triples (1) on a line drive to right fielder Dylan Carlson. Jake Burger scores.7–6
12Masyn Winn homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Pedro Pagés scores.7–5
11Jesús Sánchez grounds out, shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Dane Myers scores.5–5
11Dylan Carlson out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jazz Chisholm Jr. Alec Burleson scores.5–4
8Bryan De La Cruz homers (12) on a fly ball to right center field. Otto Lopez scores. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores.4–4
8Brendan Donovan singles on a line drive to left fielder Nick Gordon. Iván Herrera scores.4–1
8Iván Herrera triples (1) on a line drive to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Masyn Winn scores. Paul Goldschmidt scores.3–1
6Marlins challenged (touching a base), call on the field was overturned: Jazz Chisholm Jr. triples (4) on a ground ball to right fielder Dylan Carlson. Tim Anderson scores.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














