Mariners at Marlins
Last play · Julio Rodríguez lines out to second baseman Otto Lopez.
Win probability
Marlins100%
SEA 0%MIA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 2 – 6 MIA
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-155 / +130
Marlins favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nick Gordon homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. Jesús Sánchez scores. Jake Burger scores. (inning 1) — +15% Marlins
7J.P. Crawford singles on a ground ball to center fielder Nick Gordon. Mitch Garver scores.4–6
7Ryan Bliss grounds out, shortstop Vidal Bruján to first baseman Josh Bell. Luke Raley scores.3–6
4Luke Raley homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. Dominic Canzone scores.2–6
3Jesús Sánchez homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field.0–6
2Jazz Chisholm Jr. singles on a fly ball to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Vidal Bruján scores.0–5
1Nick Gordon homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. Jesús Sánchez scores. Jake Burger scores.0–4
1Jake Burger singles on a ground ball to left fielder Luke Raley. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. Jesús Sánchez to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














