Red Sox at Marlins
Last play · Vidal Bruján grounds out, second baseman Enmanuel Valdez to first baseman Dominic Smith.
Win probability
Marlins0%
BOS 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 5 – 1 MIA
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-155 / +135
Marlins favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rafael Devers singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jesús Sánchez, deflected by first baseman Jake Burger. Tyler O'Neill scores. Wilyer Abreu scores. (inning 1) — -22% Red Sox
8Jarren Duran homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field.8–3
7Emmanuel Rivera singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jarren Duran. Xavier Edwards scores.7–3
7Jesús Sánchez homers (8) on a fly ball to center field.7–2
7Masataka Yoshida singles on a line drive to center fielder Jazz Chisholm Jr. Rafael Devers scores. Connor Wong to 3rd.7–1
7Connor Wong singles on a ground ball to shortstop Xavier Edwards. Tyler O'Neill scores. Rafael Devers to 2nd.6–1
5Jake Burger homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field.5–1
4Ceddanne Rafaela homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field. Masataka Yoshida scores. Enmanuel Valdez scores.5–0
1Rafael Devers singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jesús Sánchez, deflected by first baseman Jake Burger. Tyler O'Neill scores. Wilyer Abreu scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














