Red Sox at Marlins
Last play · Josh Bell flies out to center fielder Jarren Duran.
Win probability
Marlins0%
BOS 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 1 – 0 MIA
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-155 / +135
Marlins favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jesús Sánchez homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. Josh Bell scores. (inning 11) — +61% Marlins
12Jonah Bride out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jarren Duran. Vidal Bruján scores.6–5
12Tyler O'Neill doubles (11) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jazz Chisholm Jr. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.6–4
12David Hamilton grounds out softly, third baseman Jonah Bride to first baseman Josh Bell. Romy Gonzalez scores. Ceddanne Rafaela to 3rd.5–4
11Jesús Sánchez homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. Josh Bell scores.4–4
11Enmanuel Valdez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Tyler O'Neill scores. Rafael Devers to 3rd. Rob Refsnyder to 2nd.4–2
11Tyler O'Neill singles on a ground ball to shortstop Xavier Edwards. Jarren Duran scores. Tyler O'Neill to 2nd. Tyler O'Neill advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by shortstop Xavier Edwards.3–2
8Bryan De La Cruz singles on a line drive to center fielder Jarren Duran. Nick Gordon scores. Jazz Chisholm Jr. to 3rd.2–2
8Jazz Chisholm Jr. singles on a line drive to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Vidal Bruján scores. Nick Gordon to 2nd.2–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














