Orioles at Marlins
BAL7–
MIA6Last play · Nick Gordon strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Marlins0%
BAL 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 6 – 0 MIA
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+2.5
Moneyline
reference-210 / +175
Marlins favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Josh Bell singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Colton Cowser. Jake Burger scores. Jazz Chisholm Jr. to 3rd. (inning 9) — +42% Marlins
10Ryan Mountcastle singles on a line drive to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Jordan Westburg scores. Ryan Mountcastle lines into a double play, right fielder Jesús Sánchez to catcher Ali Sánchez to shortstop Xavier Edwards. Cedric Mullins out at home. Ryan Mountcastle out at 2nd.7–6
9Josh Bell singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Colton Cowser. Jake Burger scores. Jazz Chisholm Jr. to 3rd.6–6
9Xavier Edwards out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Austin Hays. Vidal Bruján scores.6–5
9Jazz Chisholm Jr. reaches on a fielding error by shortstop Gunnar Henderson. Nick Gordon scores. Vidal Bruján to 3rd. Jake Burger to 2nd.6–4
8Bryan De La Cruz doubles (18) on a ground ball to left fielder Austin Hays. Xavier Edwards scores.6–3
8Xavier Edwards singles on a ground ball to second baseman Connor Norby, deflected by pitcher Corbin Burnes. Nick Fortes scores.6–2
6Josh Bell homers (12) on a fly ball to center field.6–1
4Connor Norby homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.6–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.