Orioles at Marlins
Last play · Ramón Urías strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Marlins100%
BAL 0%MIA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 0 – 3 MIA
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-145 / +120
Marlins favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Colton Cowser doubles (15) on a line drive to right fielder Bryan De La Cruz. Anthony Santander scores. Ryan O'Hearn scores. Heston Kjerstad scores. (inning 6) — -39% Orioles
7Bryan De La Cruz singles on a ground ball to right fielder Heston Kjerstad. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores.3–6
7Jazz Chisholm Jr. doubles (14) on a ground ball to left fielder Colton Cowser. Xavier Edwards scores. Nick Gordon scores.3–5
6Colton Cowser doubles (15) on a line drive to right fielder Bryan De La Cruz. Anthony Santander scores. Ryan O'Hearn scores. Heston Kjerstad scores.3–3
4Nick Gordon out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Colton Cowser. Otto Lopez scores.0–3
4Xavier Edwards singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Jesús Sánchez scores. Otto Lopez to 3rd.0–2
4Josh Bell homers (11) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














