Mets at Marlins
Last play · Jake Burger pops out to second baseman Jeff McNeil.
Win probability
Marlins0%
NYM 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 5 – 2 MIA
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-150 / +125
Marlins favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jeff McNeil homers (8) on a fly ball to right field. DJ Stewart scores. (inning 2) — -25% Mets
9Josh Bell grounds out, second baseman Jeff McNeil to first baseman Pete Alonso. Nick Gordon scores. Jazz Chisholm Jr. to 3rd. Bryan De La Cruz to 2nd.6–4
9Francisco Lindor homers (19) on a fly ball to left center field.6–3
7Bryan De La Cruz homers (17) on a fly ball to left field.5–3
5Josh Bell homers (10) on a fly ball to left field.5–2
5Jose Iglesias hit by pitch. J.D. Martinez scores. Pete Alonso to 3rd. DJ Stewart to 2nd.5–1
4Francisco Lindor homers (18) on a fly ball to right field.4–1
4Jeff McNeil out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Vidal Bruján. Jose Iglesias scores.3–1
2Vidal Bruján doubles (12) on a fly ball to right fielder DJ Stewart. Xavier Edwards scores. Vidal Bruján out at 3rd on the throw, right fielder DJ Stewart to second baseman Jeff McNeil to third baseman Jose Iglesias.2–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














