Reds at Marlins
Last play · Derek Hill called out on strikes.
Win probability
Marlins0%
CIN 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 7 – 2 MIA
Reds led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Marlins favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tyler Stephenson homers (14) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 2) — -20% Reds
8Spencer Steer reaches on a throwing error by shortstop Xavier Edwards. Noelvi Marte scores. Elly De La Cruz to 3rd.8–2
5Ty France homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field.7–2
4Derek Hill singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Otto Lopez scores. Jesús Sánchez scores. Cristian Pache to 3rd.6–2
4Tyler Stephenson singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Cristian Pache. Elly De La Cruz scores.6–0
4TJ Friedl out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Cristian Pache. Jonathan India scores. Elly De La Cruz to 3rd.5–0
4Elly De La Cruz doubles (26) on a fly ball to left fielder Derek Hill. Jake Fraley scores. Noelvi Marte scores. Jonathan India to 3rd.4–0
3TJ Friedl doubles (3) on a line drive to center fielder Cristian Pache. Elly De La Cruz scores. Spencer Steer to 3rd.2–0
2Tyler Stephenson homers (14) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
