Last play · Vidal Bruján flies out to center fielder Stuart Fairchild.
Win probability
Marlins0%
CIN 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
final
CIN 3 – 3 MIA
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference
-185 / +155
Marlins favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tyler Stephenson walks. Stuart Fairchild scores. Jonathan India to 3rd. Elly De La Cruz to 2nd. (inning 10) — -26% Reds
10Derek Hill grounds out, third baseman Noelvi Marte to first baseman Ty France. Otto Lopez scores.10–4
10Stuart Fairchild out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder David Hensley. Jeimer Candelario scores.10–3
10Noelvi Marte singles on a fly ball to left fielder David Hensley. Spencer Steer scores. Jeimer Candelario to 3rd. Jake Fraley to 2nd.9–3
10Jeimer Candelario singles on a ground ball to right fielder Vidal Bruján. Tyler Stephenson scores. TJ Friedl scores. Spencer Steer to 2nd.8–3
10Spencer Steer singles on a line drive to left fielder David Hensley. Elly De La Cruz scores. Tyler Stephenson to 3rd. TJ Friedl to 2nd.6–3
10TJ Friedl hit by pitch. Jonathan India scores. Elly De La Cruz to 3rd. Tyler Stephenson to 2nd.5–3
10Tyler Stephenson walks. Stuart Fairchild scores. Jonathan India to 3rd. Elly De La Cruz to 2nd.4–3
4Jhonny Pereda singles on a line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Derek Hill scores. Vidal Bruján out at 3rd on the throw, center fielder TJ Friedl to second baseman Jonathan India.3–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.