D-backs at Marlins
Last play · D-backs challenged (play at 1st), call on the field was overturned: Vidal Bruján grounds out, second baseman Kevin Newman to first baseman Pavin Smith.
Win probability
Marlins0%
AZ 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 2 – 1 MIA
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Marlins favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Xavier Edwards singles on a line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Cristian Pache scores. (inning 5) — +15% Marlins
6Lourdes Gurriel Jr. homers (15) on a fly ball to left field.3–1
5Xavier Edwards singles on a line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Cristian Pache scores.2–1
5Corbin Carroll homers (14) on a fly ball to left field.2–0
1Joc Pederson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cristian Pache. Corbin Carroll scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
