D-backs at Marlins
Last play · Jonah Bride pops out to shortstop Geraldo Perdomo.
Win probability
Marlins0%
AZ 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 5 – 2 MIA
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-215 / +180
Marlins favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Adrian Del Castillo hits a grand slam (3) to center field. Jake McCarthy scores. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores. Pavin Smith scores. (inning 3) — -40% D-backs
9Xavier Edwards doubles (8) on a line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Kyle Stowers scores.9–6
9Nick Fortes out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Otto Lopez scores.9–5
8Jake McCarthy homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field. Corbin Carroll scores.9–4
7Adrian Del Castillo singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Joc Pederson scores. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores.7–4
6Kyle Stowers singles on a line drive to center fielder Jake McCarthy. Connor Norby scores. Otto Lopez to 3rd.5–4
6Connor Norby grounds into a force out, third baseman Eugenio Suárez to second baseman Kevin Newman. Jesús Sánchez scores. Derek Hill out at 2nd. Connor Norby to 1st.5–3
5Xavier Edwards grounds out, second baseman Kevin Newman to first baseman Pavin Smith. Kyle Stowers scores. Nick Fortes to 2nd.5–2
5Joc Pederson homers (20) on a fly ball to right field.5–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
