Cubs at Marlins
Last play · David Hensley lines out to right fielder Seiya Suzuki.
Win probability
Marlins0%
CHC 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 7 – 2 MIA
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-200 / +165
Marlins favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Seiya Suzuki homers (18) on a fly ball to left center field. Michael Busch scores. (inning 3) — -21% Cubs
9Patrick Wisdom homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. Mike Tauchman scores.14–2
8Michael Busch walks. Patrick Wisdom scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 3rd. Luis Vazquez to 2nd.12–2
8Pete Crow-Armstrong hits a ground-rule double (10) on a line drive to right field. Mike Tauchman scores. Patrick Wisdom to 3rd.11–2
7Cody Bellinger doubles (20) on a line drive to right fielder David Hensley. Seiya Suzuki scores.10–2
7Seiya Suzuki triples (6) on a line drive to right fielder David Hensley. Michael Busch scores.9–2
7Michael Busch doubles (24) on a sharp line drive to right fielder David Hensley. Miguel Amaya scores.8–2
5David Hensley homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.7–2
5Michael Busch singles on a ground ball to pitcher John McMillon. Miguel Amaya scores. Ian Happ scores. Michael Busch to 2nd. Throwing error by pitcher John McMillon.7–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
