Rays at Brewers
Last play · Yandy Díaz grounds out, shortstop Willy Adames to first baseman Jake Bauers.
Win probability
Brewers100%
TB 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 0 – 2 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Brewers favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · William Contreras doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Niko Goodrum. Brice Turang scores. Oliver Dunn scores. (inning 3) — +23% Brewers
8Austin Shenton walks.1–7
7Willy Adames homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. Blake Perkins scores. William Contreras scores.0–7
7Blake Perkins doubles (4) on a fly ball to left fielder Niko Goodrum. Oliver Dunn scores.0–4
6Willy Adames homers (5) on a fly ball to center field.0–3
3William Contreras doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Niko Goodrum. Brice Turang scores. Oliver Dunn scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








