Cardinals at Brewers
Last play · Nolan Arenado lines out to left fielder Jackson Chourio.
Win probability
Brewers100%
STL 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 2 – 1 MIL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+155 / -185
Brewers favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rhys Hoskins homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. William Contreras scores. Jake Bauers scores. (inning 7) — +54% Brewers
7Rhys Hoskins homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. William Contreras scores. Jake Bauers scores.3–5
6Gary Sánchez hit by pitch. Willy Adames scores. Jake Bauers to 3rd. Rhys Hoskins to 2nd.3–2
6Nolan Gorman doubles (6) on a fly ball to right fielder Sal Frelick. Iván Herrera scores.3–1
5Lars Nootbaar singles on a line drive to center fielder Blake Perkins. Matt Carpenter scores. Nolan Gorman scores. Masyn Winn to 3rd.2–1
3Jake Bauers hit by pitch. Oliver Dunn scores. Blake Perkins to 3rd. William Contreras to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








