Pirates at Brewers
Last play · Rowdy Tellez flies out to left fielder Jackson Chourio.
Win probability
Brewers100%
PIT 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 1 – 7 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -150
Brewers favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · William Contreras homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. Jackson Chourio scores. Sal Frelick scores. (inning 3) — +38% Brewers
7Andrew McCutchen homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.2–10
6William Contreras triples (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Edward Olivares. Sal Frelick scores.1–10
6Jackson Chourio homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. Owen Miller scores.1–9
5Joey Ortiz homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.1–7
4Sal Frelick homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.1–6
3Gary Sánchez homers (6) on a fly ball to left field. Joey Ortiz scores.1–5
3William Contreras homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. Jackson Chourio scores. Sal Frelick scores.1–3
3Connor Joe out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Sal Frelick. Andrew McCutchen scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








