Cardinals at Brewers
Last play · Sal Frelick lines out to center fielder Michael Siani.
Win probability
Brewers0%
STL 100%MIL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 2 – 3 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Brewers favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Michael Siani doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Blake Perkins. Brendan Donovan scores. Michael Siani out at 3rd on the throw, center fielder Blake Perkins to shortstop Willy Adames to third baseman Joey Ortiz. (inning 7) — -19% Cardinals
7Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Michael Siani doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Blake Perkins. Brendan Donovan scores. Michael Siani out at 3rd on the throw, center fielder Blake Perkins to shortstop Willy Adames to third baseman Joey Ortiz.4–3
6Paul Goldschmidt singles on a ground ball to left fielder Christian Yelich. Michael Siani scores. Lars Nootbaar to 2nd.3–3
5Paul Goldschmidt homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.2–3
2Lars Nootbaar walks. Brendan Donovan scores. Michael Siani to 3rd. Matt Carpenter to 2nd.1–3
1Gary Sánchez singles on a line drive to left fielder Alec Burleson. Willy Adames scores. Rhys Hoskins out at home on the throw, left fielder Alec Burleson to catcher Iván Herrera.0–3
1Joey Ortiz grounds out, second baseman Nolan Gorman to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Christian Yelich scores. Willy Adames to 3rd. Rhys Hoskins to 2nd.0–2
1Rhys Hoskins walks. William Contreras scores. Christian Yelich to 3rd. Willy Adames to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








