Pirates at Brewers
Last play · Jack Suwinski strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Brewers100%
PIT 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 2 – 4 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Brewers favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Sal Frelick homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Joey Ortiz scores. (inning 2) — +20% Brewers
9Connor Joe homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.3–4
4Nick Gonzales homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Connor Joe scores.2–4
2Christian Yelich singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael A. Taylor. Jackson Chourio scores. Brice Turang to 3rd.0–4
2Brice Turang singles on a line drive to left fielder Jack Suwinski. Oliver Dunn scores. Jackson Chourio to 3rd.0–3
2Sal Frelick homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Joey Ortiz scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








