Cubs at Brewers
Last play · Nico Hoerner grounds out softly, third baseman Joey Ortiz to first baseman Jake Bauers.
Win probability
Brewers100%
CHC 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 4 – 7 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-140 / +120
Brewers favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Yelich homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. Joey Ortiz scores. (inning 1) — +17% Brewers
9Ian Happ out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Christian Yelich. Cody Bellinger scores.6–10
9Christopher Morel reaches on a missed catch error by first baseman Jake Bauers, assist to third baseman Joey Ortiz. Mike Tauchman scores. Cody Bellinger to 3rd.5–10
7Willy Adames homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field. William Contreras scores.4–10
7Christian Yelich grounds out to first baseman Patrick Wisdom. Joey Ortiz scores. William Contreras to 3rd.4–8
5Patrick Wisdom hit by pitch. Cody Bellinger scores. Ian Happ to 3rd. Nico Hoerner to 2nd.4–7
5Cody Bellinger reaches on a fielder's choice out, third baseman Joey Ortiz unassisted. Mike Tauchman scores. Seiya Suzuki out at 3rd.3–7
4Dansby Swanson grounds out, shortstop Willy Adames to first baseman Jake Bauers. Ian Happ scores.2–7
3Blake Perkins homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. Gary Sánchez scores.1–7
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
