Cubs at Brewers
Last play · Andruw Monasterio strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Brewers0%
CHC 100%MIL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 1 – 0 MIL
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Brewers favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brewers challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Willy Adames singles on a line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Christian Yelich scores. Willy Adames out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Ian Happ to second baseman Nico Hoerner. (inning 9) — +42% Brewers
10Owen Miller singles on a ground ball to second baseman Nico Hoerner, deflected by pitcher Tyson Miller. Joey Ortiz scores.6–3
10Sal Frelick grounds out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to first baseman Michael Busch. Willy Adames scores. Joey Ortiz to 3rd.6–2
10Michael Busch singles on a ground ball to center fielder Sal Frelick. Ian Happ scores.6–1
10Ian Happ doubles (11) on a fly ball to right fielder Jake Bauers. Seiya Suzuki scores. Cody Bellinger scores.5–1
10Cody Bellinger singles on a line drive to center fielder Sal Frelick. Mike Tauchman scores. Seiya Suzuki to 2nd.3–1
10Mike Tauchman singles on a line drive to first baseman Owen Miller, deflected by pitcher Trevor Megill. Luis Vazquez scores.2–1
9Brewers challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Willy Adames singles on a line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Christian Yelich scores. Willy Adames out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Ian Happ to second baseman Nico Hoerner.1–1
3Michael Busch homers (8) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
