Cubs at Brewers
Last play · Patrick Wisdom grounds out, third baseman Joey Ortiz to first baseman Owen Miller.
Win probability
Brewers100%
CHC 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 1 – 3 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Brewers favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Seiya Suzuki homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. Nico Hoerner scores. (inning 7) — -36% Cubs
8Gary Sánchez homers (7) on a fly ball to center field. Christian Yelich scores.4–6
8Christopher Morel homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field.4–4
7Brice Turang singles on a soft ground ball to pitcher Mark Leiter Jr. Blake Perkins scores.3–4
7Seiya Suzuki homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. Nico Hoerner scores.3–3
2Blake Perkins singles on a line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Joey Ortiz scores.1–3
2Joey Ortiz doubles (10) on a line drive to left fielder Ian Happ, deflected by third baseman Christopher Morel. Sal Frelick scores.1–2
2Gary Sánchez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Ian Happ. Willy Adames scores.1–1
1Cody Bellinger homers (8) on a line drive to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
