Blue Jays at Brewers
Last play · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. grounds out, second baseman Brice Turang to first baseman Jake Bauers.
Win probability
Brewers100%
TOR 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 1 – 2 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
2.5
opened 2.5
fair over 39.8% · hold 6.8%
Run line
+2.5
Moneyline
reference-20000 / +3000
Brewers favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jackson Chourio homers (7) on a line drive to left center field. (inning 3) — +15% Brewers
6Willy Adames out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Davis Schneider. Brice Turang scores. William Contreras to 2nd.1–3
4Willy Adames homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field.1–2
3Jackson Chourio homers (7) on a line drive to left center field.1–1
3Alejandro Kirk homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














