Reds at Brewers
Last play · Blake Perkins bunt pops out softly to pitcher Alexis Díaz.
Win probability
Brewers0%
CIN 100%MIL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 5 – 2 MIL
Reds led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Brewers favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jeimer Candelario homers (12) on a fly ball to right center field. Elly De La Cruz scores. (inning 5) — -17% Reds
9Reds challenged (tag play), call on the field was overturned: Jackson Chourio singles on a line drive to right fielder Will Benson. Willy Adames scores. Jake Bauers out at home on the throw, right fielder Will Benson to catcher Tyler Stephenson. Joey Ortiz to 3rd. Jackson Chourio to 2nd.6–5
9Joey Ortiz walks. Christian Yelich scores. Willy Adames to 3rd. Jake Bauers to 2nd.6–4
6Brice Turang reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Jeimer Candelario. Blake Perkins scores. Brice Turang to 2nd. Throwing error by third baseman Jeimer Candelario.6–3
6TJ Friedl singles on a ground ball to center fielder Blake Perkins. Jonathan India scores.6–2
5Willy Adames reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Elly De La Cruz. William Contreras scores. Fielding error by shortstop Elly De La Cruz. Throwing error by shortstop Elly De La Cruz.5–2
5Jeimer Candelario homers (12) on a fly ball to right center field. Elly De La Cruz scores.5–1
5Elly De La Cruz triples (2) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Sal Frelick. TJ Friedl scores.3–1
4Jonathan India singles on a line drive to right fielder Sal Frelick. Jake Fraley scores. Tyler Stephenson to 3rd.2–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














