Reds at Brewers
Last play · Reds challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Reds challenged (home-plate collision), call on the field was upheld: Santiago Espinal singles on a line drive to center fielder Blake Perkins. Stuart Fairchild out at home on the throw, center fielder Blake Perkins to catcher William Contreras. Elly De La Cruz to 2nd.
Win probability
Brewers100%
CIN 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 3 – 1 MIL
Reds led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -150
Brewers favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Willy Adames homers (12) on a fly ball to center field. William Contreras scores. Christian Yelich scores. (inning 6) — +51% Brewers
8Elly De La Cruz homers (12) on a fly ball to left field.4–5
7Christian Yelich singles on a soft bunt ground ball to first baseman Spencer Steer. Brice Turang scores.3–5
6Willy Adames homers (12) on a fly ball to center field. William Contreras scores. Christian Yelich scores.3–4
5Jackson Chourio grounds out, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to first baseman Spencer Steer. Joey Ortiz scores. Sal Frelick to 2nd.3–1
4Spencer Steer homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field.3–0
3Jeimer Candelario strikes out swinging.2–0
1Jeimer Candelario out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Sal Frelick. Elly De La Cruz scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














